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Monday, September 17, 2007

Vishal exports-The "Multibegger"


In A bull market,you will come across several inventive variants of a sob story.Something just like "One my relatives made tons of money in the stock market. He had a friend who worked for a big operator. Every time he bought a stock,it doubled within a month.I was tempted to go along, and the next time he bought a stock,I bought it too. That stock doubled. Then I sold some jewellery,took an advance against my provident fund and put it all into the next stock he recommended. This time, the stock went down.I waited for a year hoping the price would recover.Finally after I’d lost 75 per cent of my capital,I sold.Oh,and my idiot relative too lost a packet!"
It’s easy to lose big money in a bull market.Prices are inflated, the financials of "hot picks" are often dubious,everybody has sure firekhabar.Above all, many bull market participants tend to be inexperienced and sometimes arrogant; and they tend to get drunk on success. When prices fall, most of them lack the discipline to admit they’ve made mistakes and exit with dignity.

Anyway all said and done,forget it.Very recently one of the most respected panwala in our town,Vanu prasad came rushing to me with his "Sureshot Multibagger tip",It was a long time since we met and bhanu sahab was all smiling with his flamboyant baskets of orbit white teeths."Babua panoa ka dhanda khatma karke ham agaya ab marketwa mey,Apna nonua ne ek tagdi company mari hain aur woh popatwa saf saf kahediya "Vishal Exports" 3rs bhau wala lene ko jo ki "Bilwa" ka 'microsoft'se bhi tez bhagne wala hain kuch dino mey.I got awe struck,nerves got swindled,I took a long breath and bhanu bhaiya added further,"Babua tohre pas isliye ham aya taki tu bhi tohre 19 ke umar ma apne pairo se khara ho sake"Beta ham chalte hain aur "YOU NO PAN CHIBING NO CIGARETE FUKING ONLY BIRIYANI" dekh is tipwa ke sath apna confidence wa bhi agaya...Pitir pitir karke ham angrezi bhi jharne lage...ehehhehehehe,he giggled once more and went away"...I couldnt make much of his versatility though i do agree whole-heartedly that his english accent came superior to many of the MP"S of our country.

The next moment i rushed to my laptop with an unexpressable feeling,audacity was all the way as i even planned to sell my lappy for the next microsoft.So ladies&gentleman let me present you the 'considerably under researched hidden gem,Vishal Export overseas".After a bit of surfing i got the "chabi"(key) to the "Kuberdhan",the Director"s report.So let"s move on..what say?

It is one of the leading players in the EXIM business in India, in terms of "revenue and profits".The Company is engaged in the business of exports and import of Agriculture products, precious metals, chemicals, etc. The Company also got expertise in domestic and international trading of agro based commodities.Wow,great,stunning i said to myself what a great business model,i mean just consider the company buys "ALU,GOBI" and bang exported to the firangis.It exports precious metals too like?kya hain bhai...mili nehi raha hain..hmmm rehno do baki dekhte hain...minerals bhi gaya tel lene...

OOPS...Its into power generation too,Hydel power&Wind power generation,i whispered 'Bhanu bhaiya sahi tha'.So now you are getting a "Microsoft(according to our respected bhanu bhaiya),Tata power and a suzlon...a mix of 3 in vishal exports..can it get better?Choti muh aur bari bat"did u get that my fellow folks?

Now a look into the financials and the shareholding pattern.......

Oh it rewarded shareholder with a bonus too,now my confidence gets a booster again..why not such a great and dynamic business model is there for u to grab..

Sales and profits...rona agaya..pucho mat bhai...khud hi dekhlo...Mom let me have a hankie please.....

The company recently decided to sell/transfer its 'Wind farm project'...which hardly contributes anything...are ruko yaar,i recollected a scene from the bighit film,"Bunty aur Bably"..agar Taj mahal ko kiraya mey diya ja sakta hain to 'Wind farm project' bechke bhi company "Arbo" kama sakta hain...now its upto u guys to differentiate betwen the film scene and the reality..

The 3 promoters,The Mehta family sold more than 41% stake of themselves in the last 12 months...Hmm god knows whats in store of mine...I guess i am there now to replicate bhanu bhaiya in his "Purane Pan ka dhanda...

Its presently quoting at near 3rs...To opt urself for the "Chaddi pe gaddi offer" u can ride on to the helicopters of the company..

Hmm am depressed,just tuned to the song of Atif,"Hum kis gali ja rahe hain apna koi thikana nehi"....



Regards,
ARUN
arunanalyst@rediffmail.com

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