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Tuesday, January 22, 2008

Arun"s market strategy and outlook for everyone


As feared by me earlier(remember the nightmare post that was posted on 30th december) markets have come down heavily. In the past, markets feel and bounced back. But such bounce back was possible due to some strong positive news. However, this time, there may not be any strong positive triggers as there is nothing great about Q3 show Indian Inc. Infact, this time, bull-run may turn out to be bull-shit. Why everyone clamours for indices to keep on rising everyday?
Firstly, promoters are biggest beneciairies as they can raise more and more money(although they dont need even quarter of it) at unjustified/exaggerated prices. Secondly, in bull market, even iron cauldron will sell for price of silver and thousands of operators/manipulators have their business running only in mindless bull run as only during such frenzy, even dud/dead stocks (where companies are closed with nil assets or hardly any business)can fly sky high and operators/promoters can make a killing by such zero-value stocks at very very high prices to gullible/illiterate investors byspreading lies.

I feel that if markets again go on fire, it is not good for retail investors at last bcoz higher the markets go unjustifiably (without proportionately stronger results), higher vl be volaitility as Ponzi game of greater fool theory cant go on incessantly. If markets stabilize at reasonable levels, then genuine stocks with inherent value will do well. And, there will come skill of analysts to pick gems in a calm markets. It is the easiest thing to create hype about any scrip in frenzied markets. Incalm market, all manipulators/operators will be out of business which the best thing that can happen for retail investors. .

My recommendations in midcap and smallcap segment : Majority of companies have already reported or will report good results. Once panic in market is over, my scrips should resume upward march. STAY INVESTED..



Regards,
ARUN
I can be reached at:arunanalyst@rediffmail.com

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