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Sunday, March 9, 2008

Thomas Cook:-Good times ahead for shareholders

Scripscan:Thomas Cook (India) Ltd
Cmp:88
Target:105
Return expected:20%
Duration:2-3 months


Story:Thomas Cook Group plc has announced that it is acquiring up to 74.9% of the issued share capital in Thomas Cook India and 100% of Thomas Cook branded businesses in Egypt, as well as licences for the Thomas Cook brand in a total of 15 Middle East countries. Thomas Cook is purchasing the businesses from Dubai Financial Group LLC for total cash consideration of between €208 million and €249 million.Under the terms of the TCIL transaction, Thomas Cook has agreed through its UK subsidiary to acquire at least 61.8% and up to 74.9% of TCIL's share capital. In a private transaction with DFG Thomas Cook will acquire 54.9% of this for the equivalent of Rs 107 per TCIL share. Under local stock market rules Thomas Cook is tendering to acquire up to a further 20% of TCIL shares in an open offer at rs 107. As a result of this transaction Thomas Cook will acquire between 61.8% and 74.9% of TCIL's share capital, the price of with will range from €173 million to €214 million giving Thomas Cook control of the company.

Conclusion:In these sort of market environment where returns are very hard to get one can bank upon in thomas cook for some cool capital appreciation.Market is in a panic driven mood and there are strong chances that market even may overlook this news.Fundamentally too the scrip has got robust long term prospects.So enter at present levels for minimum downsides but possible 20%+ returns in the short term.



Regards,
ARUN
I can be reached at:arunanalyst@rediffmail.com

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