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Wednesday, October 29, 2008

Market outlook &The ugly truth

As expected, the US Fed?s policy making arm, FOMC, cut the target rates bank charge each other for overnight lending by 0.5% to make it 1%. The Dow reacted by oscillating with an intraday volatility of 450 points, with both the low and the high of the day being produced in the last 15 minutes of trade. The Dow eventually closed 74 points down.Meanwhile, the Asian markets are doing well with Hangseng up 850 points, Nikkei up 450 points on hopes that the Bank of Japan will initiate a 0.25% cut in its Friday meeting, its first in 7 years. South Korean Index was up 10% after the its central bank, along with Singapore signed a swap facility with the US Federal Reserve that will give them access to US dollar liquidity up to $30 billions. Our markets are closed to day on account of Bhaiya Dooj. Indian punters would just twiddle their thumbs today?.. and tomorrow is another day.

I am pretty sure just like myself many of you got glued to your CNBC tv screen on the festive day,watching the clash of 3 market experts and their alteractions.Now let me admit am a huge fan of Rakesh jhunjhunwala,the only prudent guy who dares to say from his heart and mouth.He never rehearsals or prepare his speech but the way he interacts and speaks himself:impecable perfections at his very best.Many of you may well have been recent fan of another gentleman,Mr Shankar sharma as his predictions of sensex tanking to 10k got acheived.Hats off sirji for your prediction but you never told us before, we would be in such a recessionary period,you never spoke about lehmann getting bankrupt,you never pondered about a possible production cut by most of the companies,you never hinted about a lower than expected gdp growth,hell you only ran your mouth and bang you got it right just because all of these stuff got happened.We are only praising you and not one "ved prakash chaturvedi" coz you got it spot on and that bald guy proved wrong on his prediction of sensex touching 1 lakh,yes 1 lakh in our lifetime.One may giggle but yes Mr chaturvedi of tata mf said so.Now coming back to sharma and his egositic speeches,man just give a thought on his comments about stocks like jp associates.I mean the way he rubbishes the stocks gives me an impresion of he and his party being a strong short seller on the counter.Where was he when jp attracted people at 500 odd?Fine,we all are the owners of jp as we own few shares but what about the real promoters?They run the company and offlate they converted 1cr warrants into shares at 384rs.So tell me are they insane?Comeon they knows the most being the real owner so its obvious that they are bullish and thats why those warrants.An eng&construction major+The 6th largest cement company:All these are joke kya?My easy explanation of jp"s horrendous performance on the bourse would get attribited to the reason of immense FII selling.They have got hardly any liquidity left so whatever they are getting they are taking it no matter what the company is or what the businesses are.So guys hold on to the counter,once the sentiment changes the counter is ought to perform great.

Many of you may well not be aware of Mr sharma and his past.Check out the below link to get the scene behind the story.

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