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Sunday, November 2, 2008

Rama rama kya hain drama:-

Remember the last report folks?We may not see many rates which are flashing on your screens now,we may not find scrips at those throwaway prices,blah blah:Not even 6 trading sessions and my calculated assumption gets vindicated.Markets provided the much needed releif with beleif that scrips and markets can move higher too.The diwali sure shot gift "Rishi laser" made a high of 41 thereby giving a stunning return of 33% in 5 trading sessions.More good news and higher stock prices are in offing thanx to the unexpected but sentiment favourable RBI moves.The move will inject lot of liquidity in the system and with crude and inflation further expected to cool off,sensex should bolster.Midcaps which were oversold,slowly seems to be back in the reckoning with some upward spirals.They should move much more before consolidation takes place.Core projects,one of the counter which majority owns moved 40% in a single trading session due to huge buying by bargain hunters.Though sentiment is not as favourable but certainly one shouldnt get surprised if core does an yo-yo resembling the orchid pharma move.On the valuation front sensex should clock an EPS of 850rs in 09,historically sensex quotes at 10-11 PE in bear markets.So on a concensus we may say 8000-8500 would be the bottom unless any horrendous bad news cracks the market.The present move should help the sensex cross the pschological barrer of 5 figures,providing further releif for the investment fraternity.Investing is always a great strategy but under the present environment a bit of cash position in portfolio would help to counter any unnerving volatility with a southward stance.So members keep booking profits or raise your traling stop losses.Adopt the mentioned strategy and it would prove beneficial.Cheers...............


Regards,
ARUN
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I can be reached at:arunanalyst@rediffmail.com

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