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Sunday, May 31, 2009

Futture growth prospects and outlook of:-Simplex Infrastructures Ltd and Hindustan zinc ltd

Scripscan:Simplex Infrastructures Ltd
Traded in:Nse-bse

Story:The company''s revenue growth of 65% in FY08, against revenue CAGR of 33% over FY03-07, means the efforts put in by the company to boost its manpower strength, asset base, systems & processes, and funding capabilities are bearing fruit. Simplex is on a high-growth path and investments made during the past few years will benefit the company in future. Having one of the most diversified order books in the construction sector (in terms of segmental and geographical mix), Simplex is hedged against any slowdown in order awards due to impending elections in India. It expects margins to improve, driven by a shift in its order book towards higher margin segments and more profitable overseas operations. At CMP, for revised fully diluted EPS estimate of Rs 38, Simplex trades at a P/E of 10.1x FY10E,. Though the outlook for the construction sector is challenging in the short term, Simplex is better placed with limited funding concerns - it has a well-diversified business model, strong growth prospects, and limited real estate & asset ownership exposure.

Scripscan:Hindustan zinc ltd
Traded in:Nse-bse

Story:HZL is expected to post EPS of Rs 30 on revenues of Rs 2200 crore, and has reduced its zinc price forecast for FY10, in line with the sharp correction in LME zinc prices recently. This has largely been driven by zinc surplus of 78 kt in January-April ''08. However, even at the reduced prices, HZL is likely to post strong EBITDA margins of 61% in FY09 and 60% in FY10. Given the pure-play nature of HZL''s business, zinc price has been embedded in the market value of the stock: at 5x EV/EBITDA, the market seems to be factoring in a sub-$1,500 zinc price on the LME. Even if zinc price remains stagnant at $1,800, HZL''s fair value should be Rs 656 per share.

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