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Wednesday, August 26, 2009

AMD Industries Ltd:Is it a buy/hold or sell?

Scripscan:AMD Industries Ltd(AMD Metplast)

Story: Of late, the packaging of stuffs like soft drinks, mineral water, and other alcoholic products has undergone tremendous changes from the ubiquitous structure to a slick exterior.In fact, today, the way packaging is done indicates the measures the players in the packaging industry are undertaking to notch up on the progress bar. And thanks to these measures, the players in the industry are raking in the moolah.AMD Metplast, a player in the beverage packaging industry, made an attempt for its score on the progress bar.AMD Metplast is primarily into manufacturing of crown caps, plastic closures and PET preforms (bottles, before blowing into full size bottles, capsules are called "preforms").It would amount to hasty generalisation to term the scrip as expensive, considering it is the only player in the beverage packing industry. But it must be noted that the size of business that AMD Metplast has and the P/E that it commands is unwarranted.Also, the company excessively depends on a single customer: Hindustan Coca Cola Beverages, which constitutes more than 80% of the total revenues of crown caps and more than 72% in pet preforms and closures. And investors must be wary of this fact.The company came out with its ipo couple of years ago at 65 odd which got oversubscribed to the tune of 5 times.At 26rs I feel downsides are limited and long term investors may well take a position for a target of 35-40rs in the coming 9-12 months.A safe buy.

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