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Sunday, August 2, 2009

Supreme Petrochem Ltd:Is it a buy/sell or hold?

Scripscan:Supreme Petrochem Ltd

Story:The company manufactures polystyrene [2,72,000], Speciality Polysterene [25,000], Expanded Polysterene [XPS] [5,000] and Expandable Polysterene[EPS]. It is the leader in Polystyrene business in the Indian market place with morethan 50% market share and is also the largest exporter of Polysterene from Indiato more than 80 countries. Its exports are also significant.It will expand the capacity of the speciality Polysterene products further to 50,000 Mts [from 25,000 Mts] in next couple of years. These are used in Alloys/ Blends/ Compounds/ Masterbatches of polymers and mainly in auto/auto-components segment. Company has achieved TS-16949 certification, which ispre-requisite for product uses in automobile segment.The company manufactures polystyrene, SpecialityPolysterene, Expanded Polysterene [XPS] and Expandable Polysterene [EPS].They are common plastic inputs used for making variousPackaging products, insulation boards, toughnedplastic parts for consumer electronic gadgets and hightech components for automobiles etc.It has entered in to MOU with Noa Chemicals of USA for producing CUP grade EPS beads, with arrangements to sell back to Nova, as also to selectedcountries. This is arestricted high technology product, andif all goes well, company will setup 20,000 MTs capacity by June 2010.Company is also setting up SEZ for Plastic processingin Raigarh, Maharashtra and a minor port nearby.Last year’s performance of company was poor due to tight availability of key input -styrene monomer, high volatiltityand falling trend in input prices, leading squeezed margins.Now, with improved supplies and stable prices of keyinput, the margins have improved from Q-4, and they arelikely to remain so.• With economic activity picking up, the demand for company’s products will grow at a healthy pace. We expect company to report significant improvement in performance in current year.•The stock is available at 3X of our expected earnings for 2010 and looks attractive for investment.

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