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Thursday, September 10, 2009

Madhucon Projects Ltd:A gem of a bet

Scripscan:Madhucon Projects Ltd
Code:531497
Cmp:227

Story:Madhucon Projects (MPL) has a good mix of assets, which yield consistent returns and cash flows and which we believe will facilitate it to continue investing in the high-growth businesses of real estate, power and coal going ahead. We prefer MPL on account of the following: 1) Cooling commodity prices, which we believe would benefit MPL as it has orders with fixed price contracts; 2) Despite the recent run up in the stock, there exists a substantial valuation arbitrage between MPL and its peers; 3) MPL is one of the biggest beneficiaries of the improving liquidityscenario as it has an attractive portfolio of offerings; and 4) Certain catalyst/triggers (power and coal business) are still not priced in.We have assigned a PE of 8x FY2011E EPS of Rs 25.7 for its core construction business, 1x FY2011E P/BV for its BOT business at a value of Rs 270 cr (Rs73/share). On the real estate front, we have valued the land, at Rs 18.9 cr (Rs 5.1/share). At Rs 227, the stock is trading at attractive valuations, 6.7x and 5.0x on FY2010E and FY2011E Earnings respectively, after adjusting for BOT projects, power and real estate. Therefore, we recommend a Buy on the stock with a SOTP Target price of Rs 305.

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Posted by arun at 8:06 PM

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This blog does not share personal information with third parties nor do we store any information about your visit to this blog other than to analyze and optimize your content and reading experience through the use of cookies.You can turn off the use of cookies at anytime by changing your specific browser settings.This privacy policy is subject to change without notice and was last updated on 20.3.2013. If you have any questions, feel free to contact me directly here: arunsharemarket@gmail.com Investment in equity shares has its own risks.Sincere efforts have been made to present the right investment perspective.The information contained herein is based on analysis and up on sources that I consider reliable. I,however,do not vouch for the accuracy or the completeness thereof.This material is for personal information and am not responsible for any loss incurred based upon it & take no responsibility whatsoever for any financial profits or loss which may arise from the recommendations above.The stock price projections shown are not necessarily indicative of future price performance.The information herein, together with all estimates and forecasts, can change without notice.
 
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