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Monday, October 5, 2009

Hilton Metal Forging Ltd:Future growth prospects and outlook

Scripscan:Hilton Metal Forging Ltd
cmp:20
Code:532847

Story:The company's product range consists of flanges and stub ends.The company plans to shift towards higher value-added products such as high-pressure valve bodies that have applications in the oil and gas and petrochemical segments.While the company can leverage its existing business relationships in the US and European markets, its success will hinge on its ability to switching from its existing low-value products to a high-value range. Given the high working-capital intensity of the project, sluggish offtake in the export markets can impact margins and profits significantly. In addition, the execution risks relating to the current project are also fairly high.In the backdrop of these variables, a relatively mid-size company such as Hilton Metal Forgings may find it difficult to command premium valuations that are in line with the big players. The positives are the buoyant demand for forgings in the export markets and good business relationships established by the company in the US and Europe. However, the risks associated with setting up a relatively new product line with significantly higher scale of operations, fragmented nature of the forgings sector, intense competition and volatility in raw material prices are the downsides associated with the stock.A hold and exit on rally stock.

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Posted by arun at 8:31 PM

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