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Saturday, October 31, 2009

Rajshree Sugars & Chemicals Ltd:Future growth outlook and prospects

Scripscan:Rajshree Sugars & Chemicals Ltd

Story:After recomending Dhampur Sugar I have moved on to another sugar stock and all sugar stocks are going up. I have identified one more sugar stock which according to me holds a lot of value and that is Rajshree Sugar & Chemicals. I think promoters have increased their stake from 35% to around 38.5% last year. There was a sharp turnaround in the performance of the company. Largely to do with the cycle of the sugar industry and I am very positive on the cycle as far the sugar cycle goes.Its Q1 performance was quite okay, Rs 85 crore was its sales but what is important is that the inventory of the company has shot up from around Rs 8 crore to 36 crore which clearly means that the company has held back to these inventories and would be selling at higher prices. So I am expecting a bump up performance from the company atleast for the next two-three quarters and according to me this stock at valuations looks attractive for a good short-term bet also.The stock to be bought as far as sugar goes is Bajaj Hindusthan then a Balrampur Chini and then Shree Renuka Sugar; it is a close fight between them. But people have woken up, people have realized that frontline stocks moved up and people are now trying to catch up the smaller scrips. Unfortunately what is happening is people are just buying into companies without knowing what they are buying. So somewhere around the line, things are going to reach a level where people have to learn to sell and then possibly shift to the frontline stocks. I think you have made your money in smallcap sugar stocks, learn to take your profits home and then buyback into the Bajaj Hindusthan of the world.

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