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Sunday, November 8, 2009

GTL Ltd:Buy/hold/sell,oulook,prospects and analysis

Scripscan:GTL Ltd

Story:GTL Limited provides network services for telecom services providers and technology providers. It offers network planning and design services, such as RF planning and design, RF optimization, transmission planning, benchmarking and auditing, in-building solutions, and virtual planning and optimization; and network deployment services, including site/construction engineering, management services, site implementation, acceptance services, site documentation, and validation services. The company also provides network operations and maintenance services that comprise network monitoring and operations, network field maintenance, technical support and process management, logistics and vendor management, and transition management; and infrastructure management services, such as program management, site expansion management, shareability assessment, documentation management, disaster recovery management, and site acquisition management. In addition, it offers energy management services, including energy audits of telecom infrastructure, process improvements and best practices, technology upgradation, and alternate sources of energy; and professional services in the areas of RF engineering, NSS engineering, Vas and billing, 2G and 3G access, microwave and optical transmission networks, and network operations and maintenance. It has operations in the United States, Asia, Europe, and the Middle East. The company has strategic alliance with Ericsson UK to serve managed network infrastructure services market in the United Kingdom.We maintain our FY10E revenue and EBIDTA estimates, but lower our PATestimates by 4% due to increase in interest expenses. We revise our FY10E EPS to Rs16.8 (from Rs17.6 earlier)and introduce FY11E EPS at Rs 20/share. We revise our SOTP based target price to Rs 325/ share based on 15x FY11E EPS of Rs20 and value of holding in GTL Infra at Rs50/ share. Domestic order deferrals and higher working capital cycle remain concerns on the growthand cash flows of the company.The downside to the stock price could be limited due to the likely large order wins from BSNL tender.We maintain a hold rating on it.

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