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Friday, October 7, 2011

Ansal Properties & Infrastructure Ltd:-Buy/sell/,growth prospects and recommendation,news and results,target and analysis,view and outlook,multibagger

Scripscan:Ansal Properties & Infrastructure Ltd
BSE code:500013

Story:Ansal Properties is a 40-year old company almost as old as Unitech and DLF It has been credited with developing more than 3,000 acres of land in Gurgaon alone,leave aside other developments.The company has got current land bank of about more than 7,000 acres out of which 3,500 acres is in Lucknow,and Megapolis,Greater Noida is about 2,500 acres. Ansal is doing a 200 acre township in Gurgaon and currently has got about 19 townships under development.If we look at the financials of the company, FY11 sales were about Rs 1,300 crore with a profit after tax of Rs 108 crore and EPS was about Rs 7.50.In Q1 FY12 sales are about Rs 300 crore which is up by 16%.Profit after tax is down by close to 40% to about Rs 22 crore.The heartening fact is that in the June quarter the company has booked sales of about 8.5 million square feet which incidentally is the highest sales booked by the company in any quarter.Also, I think the negatives with respect to the sector maybe fully priced-in in the stock prices. Any indication by RBI to end the interest rate increase cycle may lead to a sharp bounce back in the prices of many of the stocks in the sector. That apart, this company has got debt of about Rs 1500-1600 crore which is not, I would say very low, but it’s at manageable levels. It is not as high as what many other real estate companies are carrying which are much smaller in size compared to Ansal Properties.The stock currently trades at about Rs 30, while the 52-week high for the stock is about Rs 97 and low is Rs 26.On a five-year basis, this company had touched a price of about Rs 550 and the low was about Rs 21.So at current price, it is available very low to its five-year and 52-week low.I don’t see too much downside from these levels. I think the negatives seem already priced in.In case any positive announcements with regard to the end of rate increase cycle come, it may lead to a sharp bounce back in the stock price of the stock. So it is for the high-risk investor and I think from Rs 27-28, another fall, maybe, about 5-10% is the maximum which I expect in the stock.The good part is that the promoters have been increasing their stake in the company through market purchases. Between March and June, they have increased their stake by about 1.3%, and even after June, you can see from the various disclosures made to the stock exchanges that they are still buying from the market. Therefore, these things make us positive on the stock of Ansal Properties.
Source:Ashish chugh

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