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Friday, October 14, 2011

Shalimar Paints Ltd:-Paid call to members

Many of you repeatedly in my mail have asked for paid calls and what they will be and all.Now as an amateur and being a social guy I would always safeguard the vested interest of investors than something else.The open blog is a place for me to give guidance.Paid blog is for the one who needs those calls and my bigtime guidance desperately.Anyways here"s an example of a paid member call and the type which I provided just few days back.

btw:Broking members(Members having an online trading account with my firm) by virtue of having a lifelong association enjoys the paid calls for free.



Market outlook and stock tip:-Shalimar paints ltd


Scripscan:Shalimar Paints Ltd
Traded in:Nse-bse
Cmp:425
Target:600
Return:43%
Duration:4-7 months

Story:If you see the paints sector, there are five major players there. The largest, of course, is Asian Paints ,which does a turnover of close to Rs 6325 crore and commands a marketcap of Rs 30000 crore. Then comes Nerolac Paints, Berger Paints, Akzo nobel india and Shalimar Paints. If you see the valuation of these companies, there is a huge valuation gap between the fourth and the fifth largest player, even though there may not be such huge differences in the size of their business. Berger does a turnover of Rs 1700 crore and has a marketcap of Rs 3400 crore, while Akzo nobel India does a turnover of close to Rs 1000 crore and has got a marketcap of Rs 3700 crore.Shalimar does a turnover of close to Rs 405 crore and has a marketcap of just Rs 160 crore. There is a huge valuation gap between the fourth and the fifth largest player in the sector, which I believe should narrow down.Not many people are aware of the fact that this is a company, which belongs to the Delhi-based Jindal group. This is a 100-year-old company, which was acquired by the Jindal's along with an NRI investor in 1989. Since the company is 100 years old, it is sitting on assets, which are valued at historical cost.The replacement value of the assets would be many times more than the marketcap of the stock, which is at the number one position. Secondly, the huge differential in the marketcap, which is there between the fourth and the fifth largest player will narrow down.The main concern in this stock is that this company has got low profit margins compared to the industry.The main reason for the low profit margin is the scale of operations, but the fact is that there has been an increased realization in the company and it is doing everything to increase the profit margins, of course, without sacrificing the market share.As the profit margins increase,the valuation gap is going to narrow down. At the current price of Rs 425, one does not have much to lose in this stock, but if one hopes that the profit margins will improve in the near future, which the management is confident of, then one can see a much higher marketcap for this stock.Added bonanza can be the news of promoters looking to sell partly a stake to strategic investors/paints majors-reasons can be anything but the shareholders tends to gain the most if that happens at all.Paint behemoths like Kansai Nerolac and Sherwin-Williams have shown huge interest in the company.This is the sector which has been growing massively over the last 20-25 years.If any takeover or stake sell happens expect a minimum price of 750-800rs for the counter.So both on the fundamentals and on the speculation front shalimar point provides ample spice to make some good bucks on.

Regards,
ARUN

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