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Wednesday, October 19, 2011

Tulsyan NEC Ltd:-Buy/sell/growth prospects and recommendation,news and results,target price and analysis,view and outlook,multibagger

Scripscan:Tulsyan NEC Ltd
BSE code:513629
cmp:37

Story:This is a company, which is in two lines of business: Steel and woven sacks.The company manufactures TMT bars, MS alloys and billets in the steel division. They also manufacture HTP and PP woven sacks. Tulsyan NEC is not ideally one of those steel companies which you would want it to be in terms of backward linkages. The company as of now doesn’t have any backward linkages. It buys steel scrap/sponge iron for manufacture of steel and it also buys power from the grid. It doesn’t have its own captive power source.But if you look at the other positives of the company, this company is available at a market cap of just about Rs 50 crore. The company does sales revenue of about Rs 840 crore. This company has been a profit making company for the past 15 years. It has made profit not just at the operational level but also in the net level in the last 15 years. The company has got a track record of dividend for the last ten years which is uninterrupted - even during the worse phases of the steel cycle this company has paid dividend in the last 10 years.The other good thing happening here is that the company is now going in for backward linkages, about an year back this company has acquired a sponge iron plant called Chitrakoot Steel and Power Limited, which has got a 30,000 tonne per annum for sponge iron capacity, which they are increasing further to about 1 lakh tonne per annum. The company is also putting up a 35 megawatt power plant. They have already acquired about 75 acre of land. This will be operational in FY12.Considering all this, the company had been making good profits for the past 15 years without any backward linkages. Now the backward linkages are coming. The market cap of the company is just about Rs 50 crore - even assuming a 1% increase in net profit margins on a sales of Rs 840 crore results with an EPS increase of about Rs 15. Of course, this is not an ideal steel company in terms of linkages but its available at a market cap just about Rs 50 crore on sales of Rs 840 crore. The downside from these levels looks extremely restricted but once the linkages are there, obviously, the profitability will go up. Also there is a potential for huge upscale increase in profits after the linkages are available.So at the current price of Rs 37,I think it’s a stock to accumulate for the next maybe two years. Once the linkages are in place the profits can go up really sharply.

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