Scripscan:Oil India Ltd
cmp:1150
Code:533106
Story:Oil India (OIL) is in advance talks for potential overseas acquisition of producing property in the African region. The company is likely to give a non-binding agreement for the same in the next 2-3 months. The reserve is around 200m barrels and the potential acquisition cost is around Rs 50-60bn, translating into EV/boe of US$4.8-5.8/boe. The same compares favourably to the opportunity cost (F&D cost of US$5.45/bbl in FY11).Management believes the preferred option for the divestment of government stake is likely to be block-trade, wherein the government offloads its stake to the institutional investor. OIL expects government to provide minimum net realisation of around US$60/bbls for the current fiscal. The company has asked the government to take average of the last five years for calculating the proportionate share of upstream companies against the current practice of last three year's average.OIL has been delivering impressive performance on the core operating parameters such as production growth, coupled with efficient operations, resulting in low finding, development and lifting cost. Key catalysts affecting the stock price continues to be subsidy sharing and outlook with regards to deployment of significant cash balance. The stock is currently trading at attractive 7.3x FY2013E EPS.Buy with a 12 months target price of Rs 1,525/share (a multiple of 10x FY2013E EPS)
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Investment in equity shares has its own risks.Sincere efforts have been made to present the right investment perspective.The information contained herein is based on analysis and up on sources that I consider reliable. I,however,do not vouch for the accuracy or the completeness thereof.This material is for personal information and am not responsible for any loss incurred based upon it & take no responsibility whatsoever for any financial profits or loss which may arise from the recommendations above.The stock price projections shown are not necessarily indicative of future price performance.The information herein, together with all estimates and forecasts, can change without notice.









